The strategic threat
The Iranian Challenge to International Law and Values
The strategic threat
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Professor David Menashri:
The regime and revolution
The expectations that were held by the Iranian people when the revolution started have not been met judging by today’s reality. Just as in any political movement that comes to power, the Islamic regime had two main aims in mind. The first was to stabilise itself and maintain power. In that effort the Iranian regime has been fairly successful. After 29 years they are still there, and the Islamic institutions they created are fairly stable. They have regular elections, with general elections at least once a year on average. Since the regime was installed, Iranians have gone to polls nine times for the presidency, eight times for parliament, four times for the council of experts and three times for local elections; almost every year there have been elections. In terms of the stability and continuity the clerics are firmly in power. But revolutions don’t come to this world simply to replace one political system with another. Revolutions come usually with an ideology, with a belief that their doctrine is a remedy to the problems of society. If the main aim was to resolve the problems of the common Iranian people, then the revolution has not been successful.
A religious movement?
There are three questions that are essential to understanding this phenomenon of radical Islam. The first question is to what degree the revolution is a religious movement. I happen to think these movements are much wider than religious movements in the narrow meaning of religion in Western society. In Western society we make a distinction between religion and state, religion and science, religion and many other things. Religion has a narrow meaning at least in the Christian world. In the Jewish world, in the Islamic world, religion is everything. Even what we eat has to do with religion, as does the political system, and the social structure. Religion therefore covers all spheres of life. So if you use religious terminology then to have been a truly Islamic revolution there would have to have been social, economic, cultural and political change, together with the creation of anti-imperialist sentiment.
If the aim of the revolution was to bring a better life to the Iranian people, then the stability of the regime does not depend on the return to Islam as much as it does on the regime’s capability to resolve the problems facing the Iranian people. It was nevertheless a revolution that created an Islamic regime. The result was religious state. When I lived in
Islamic ideology
The second question is to what extent was the revolution Islamic in its ideology? Religion is a huge corpus of knowledge, and there are many interpretations and different schools of thought. Judaism is not practised today as it was 3000 years ago, or Christianity 2000 years ago. Today we look at religion according to our interpretation of the principles of faith in our own era. Interpretations change; there are different attitudes even within Shia Islam on almost every single issue. To put it in the words of Abdelkarim Saroush, the leading Iranian intellectual, there is no one interpretation of Islam, there is no one better than another, there is no final interpretation of Islam, and there can be no official interpretation of Islam. Even an Islamic regime cannot tell you that this is the only interpretation of Islam that you must accept and follow. There is a degree of pluralism, even within the religious establishment, but the extremist interpretation of Khomeini took hold and is being imposed on the people.
Policy
There are two main views of the regime. One sees it as reformist, pragmatist, and modernist. The other sees a radical, extremist, conservative or neo-conservative state. The Iranian regime has been pragmatic in many varied ways. It doesn’t really do what it said it would do 30 years ago. Key officials’ consider the consequences of their deeds, resulting in a degree of pragmatism over the years. There is also a recognition that the people could intervene to produce a change in Iranian policy. Iran was the only country in the world that has had two major revolutions in the 20th century. A constitution was written in 1907 when there was a revolution. If you include Mossadegh and the events of 1891, you have four major mass political movements in one country in 120 years. So it is possible for the people to play a decisive role in political affairs.
When I read books published in Iran, it makes me feel very optimistic. A book by Ganji which labelled the regime as fascist was published in
But there are also many negative things, like inflation and unemployment. Each year only half of the 800,000 people that enter into the job market for the first time can get a job. Yet the government does nothing. The combination of the progressive elements and the misconduct of the regime may signal that the people are not satisfied and that there could be a change.
Positives vs extremism
There are positive things in Iranian society. Women’s and youth student organizations are very active. The Iranian movie industry is wonderful. Internet use in Iran is more extensive than in any other Middle Eastern country with the exception of Israel, so there are some trends in civil society that offer hope for the future. The advantage the regime faces is that there is no coordinated opposition movement. There are oppositions, but they hate each other more than they hate the regime in
However, the people of Iran do care what people think about them. They are very sensitive to criticism. It is important for them to know that the world sees it as important to promote human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran. My basic philosophy is that Iranians are open to wisdom, they calculate the risks of their deeds, and the reason that they continue to make a mockery of the Western world is because there is no unified Western policy against them. Yet it is not impossible for Iran to achieve an accommodation with other states. For Israelis, Iran is not their traditional enemy. Look back at history: King Cyrus the Great granted freedom to the Jews and the last Shah of Iran had good relations with Israel. Israel maintained its embassy and diplomats in Iran even after Khamenei came to power.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Ahmadinejad has this apocalyptical, messianic vision that he has been assigned to pave the way for the return of the twelfth imam. He probably thinks things are wonderfully well for him in the Middle East. America has done a great service to Iran’s Islamic regime having removed both of Iran’s main enemies, Saddam Hussein and the Taliban, and got themselves stuck in Iraq. The price of oil has risen to over $100 when it was $20 six years ago. The weakening of the Arab world and the strengthening of the Shi’ite countries gives a lot of power to the Iranians.
However, strictly speaking Ahmadinejad is not the head of the state; rather it is Khamenei. It is still the clerics and the clerical institutions that run things. So why do they give him the right to speak the way he speaks? Firstly, it is likely they share most of his views. He simply says what they feel deep in their hearts. The second reason is that Ahmadinejad has made all Iranian extremists look moderate. If you look in the newspapers all the articles about Khamenei are about how pragmatic he is. The only thing that could have made Khamenei appear pragmatic is by contrasting him with Ahmadinejad.
The problem of extremism and nuclear weapons
The main problem in Iran is that with growing extremism, there is a combination of radical ideology as being believed and articulated by Ahmadinejad, and weapons of mass destruction on the other hand. This combination could amount to a devastating scenario for the Middle East and beyond. The other issue is that
Solutions
One solution might be to exert pressure on
We can help in the Middle East by bringing the Israelis and the Arabs together, the moderate Arab countries, and solve the problems between them. The more we solve the problems in the Middle East, the weaker Iran will become. Iran is taking advantage of problems across the region. The one positive I can see is that the moderate Arab countries and Israel recognise their common interests in the region, and are trying to solve issues such as the Palestinian problem. It is important that this issue is taken off the table, but unfortunately I don’t see how the current leaders can achieve the solutions that were proposed at Annapolis. There is ineffective leadership on the part of the Palestinians, the Israelis and those trying to solve the problem.
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Professor Charles Asher Small:
Ahmadinejad’s ideology and attacks on Israel
It seems clear to me, that the Iranian regime has become emboldened and very powerful, and I can’t see how a regime like this is going to stop unless it is stopped. Ahmadinejad’s rhetoric adequately reflects the ideology of the regime and his own personality. The regime in Iran is very extreme and not only rejects Israelis, Jews and Zionists, but also Muslims who do not see Islam the same way the regime does. It rejects religious minorities, female emancipation, or the recognition of other groups in society. He views society in a very narrow way. When Ahmadinejad was at
Ahmadinejad, as we know, demonises the state of
Ahmadinajad has adopted the language of Nazism, of sterilisation, of racial superiority. The literature of extreme anti-Semitism and fascism is popular in the Middle East and in particular in Iran where the Protocols Elders of Zion, the most pernicious classical form of anti-Semitism in Europe as well as Mein Kampf, have been translated and published in the Middle East. The Protocols of the Elders of Zion is in fact the second-most translated and published book in the
International law
International law prohibits incitement against a group of people. The Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide undertakes to punish or prevent any individual or groups that engage in genocidal acts. Under the convention genocide means any acts committed with the intent to destroy in whole or in part a national, ethnic, racial or religious group. Article 3 includes the following very simple word. There is a “prohibition against direct and public incitement to commit genocide” because it contravenes the Convention. What Ahmadinejad and the regime are saying is therefore clearly illegal under international law. Under Article 4, a person committing genocide, or inciting genocide, or any act which is mentioned under Article 3, shall be punished whether they are constitutional, responsible rulers, public officials or even private individuals.
Article 8 calls upon the organs of the United Nations to take such actions under the charter of the United Nations as they have considered appropriate with the prevention and suppression of acts of genocide or any other acts mentioned under Article 3. In other words there is a body of international law and agreements which demands of governments to act accordingly. So I urge all politicians to read the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide because it is the responsibility of all 156 governments who have signed this Convention to act. There is also judicial precedent, for example
The amazing irony – the horrific irony – is that it was in 1948, in the ashes of the Holocaust, that the Convention was adopted. It was written by Raphael Lemkin, who survived the Holocaust himself, along with others. He clearly stipulated that incitement to genocide is a crime under the Convention. These were measures designed to prevent genocide. Tragically the laws against incitement designed to prevent genocide are still only used after the event has happened. So pathetically, people from
Dangers of anti-Semitism
What is clear about anti-Semitism is that taken to its logical extension, it is genocidal. If left unchecked it will target the next religious minority, the handicapped, physically or perhaps intellectually. Ultimately it will target people who advocate democracy and human rights.
The Iranian Regime
From a conceptual perspective, the regime denies the other group’s right to exist. Ahmadinajed is not only blaming the Jews for inventing the Holocaust, he is informing his constituents inside
When Ahmadinejad said about a year and a half ago that Israel should be wiped off the face of the map everybody reacted and there was a bit of a storm in the media, but when he said recently that Israel is a bacteria that must be eliminated it didn’t make such big news. Perhaps we are becoming immune to the rhetoric. In the meantime, Ahmadinejad and radical Islam continue to go unchecked and are growing in power, and in confidence. In the name of humanity and civilization it is imperative that we stand up for what we believe in.
I do believe that many Iranians want change. The problem is that the structure of the system doesn’t allow substantial change. In the recent elections to parliament there was a committee overseeing the elections, that supervised the candidates and actually eliminated the candidates it deems to be unfit. There were 7,200 candidates, but over 2,500 of them were found to be unfit to run. So what kind of election is it when this committee eliminates one third of the candidates? The basic structure of the regime cannot be challenged by Parliament, as it is the unelected bodies and clergy that control all areas of policy.
It is not the people of Iran but rather its conservative leaders who control the system and have the backing of the supreme leader. In the moment of truth, when someone has to push the button, to send the missile or worse, the decision will not be made by liberal intellectuals, most of whom are in jail, but by the radical clerics who are in charge. This is very much a problem.
Anti-Semitic rhetoric is useful because it distracts citizens from looking at failing economic policies, because they are focusing on the Zionist conspiracy to sabotage the revolution and Iranian society. In turn it is empowers Ahmadinajad and the regime in the region, as he builds himself into the guardian of the Islamists and other people who want to eliminate Israel from the region. It is very rational, consistent and very effective.
It goes even further – I did something recently on anti-Semitism in
Yet there is almost an unholy alliance, as criticism of Israel in the UK has been going on for decades. I did my masters and PHD at Oxford University, and over there progressive intellectuals – not even extremists of any sort – have been criticising Israel to such an extent that their criticism has become irrational. I was just at the London School of Economics, where the student union voted on a resolution, which was carried, that accused
*Full list of Ahmadinejad quotes provided by Professor Small:
February 20, 2008
"The world powers established this filthy bacteria, the Zionist regime, which is lashing out at the nations in the region like a wild beast. … "[
January 30, 2008
"I warn you to abandon the filthy Zionist entity, which has reached the end of the line. It has lost its reason to be and will sooner or later fall. The ones who still support the criminal Zionists should know that the occupiers' days are numbered. … Accept that the life of Zionists will sooner or later come to an end."
November 27, 2007
"It is impossible that the Zionist regime will survive. Collapse is in the nature of this regime because it has been created on aggression, lying, oppression and crime."
(As quoted by IRNA)
On
"We regret that some people fell victim to the cursed Zionist regime and they are mistaken if they thought this meeting was an achievement for them or helps reinforce the Zionists."
(As quoted by the AFP)
October 05, 2007
On Zionist control of the West:
"I would now like to ask Western governments to explain which one is right. Are they held captive [by the Zionists] or are they the puppet masters of the Zionists?"
"In both cases, they are accomplice to the crimes of the Zionist regime and they should know that they should be accountable for what they have done."
"They should know that if they are held captive by the Zionists and they do not dissociate themselves from them, they would soon be tried and punished in courts of justice by the powerful hands of nations."
On the Holocaust:
"After the Second World War, they created a scenario called 'pogrom against Jews.' All over
On resettling the Jews from
"...you cannot tolerate the presence of Zionists in
(Al-Quds Day speech)
September 24, 2007
On aliyah to
"...on the other hand, they gather a number of Jews from different parts of the world through false propaganda and with the promise of providing them with welfare, jobs and food, and settle them in the occupied territories, exposing them to the harshest restrictions, psychological pressures and constant threats. They prevent these people from returning to their homelands and by coercion and propaganda induce them to malevolence toward the indigenous Palestinian people."
Call for "divine justice" in the international community:
"The era of darkness will end. Prisoners will return home. The occupied lands will be freed.
(Speech to UN General Assembly)
August 28, 2007
"Zionists are people without any religion. They are lying about being Jewish because religion means brotherhood, friendship and respecting other divine religions…They are an organized minority who have infiltrated the world. They are not even a 10,000-strong organization."
(At a news conference in Tehran)
August 18, 2007
"The Zionist regime is the flag bearer of violation and occupation and this regime is the flag of Satan. …It is not unlikely that this regime be on the path to dissolution and deterioration when the philosophy behind its creation and survival is invalid."
(Address to an international religious conference in Tehran)
June 3, 2007
"With God's help, the countdown button for the destruction of the Zionist regime has been pushed by the hands of the children of
(Speech, as quoted by the
March 21, 2007
"It is quite clear that a bunch of Zionist racists are the problem the modern world is facing today. They have access to global power and media centers and seek to use this access to keep the world in a state of hardship, poverty and grudge and strengthen their rule. The great nation of
(from a recorded New Year's message aired on Iranian television)
February 28, 2007
"The Zionists are the true manifestation of Satan . . . Many Western governments that claim to be pioneers of democracy and standard bearers of human rights close their eyes over crimes committed by the Zionists and by remaining silent support the Zionists due to their hedonistic and materialistic tendencies."
(to a meeting of Sudanese Islamic scholars in
December 12, 2006
"Thanks to people's wishes and God's will the trend for the existence of the Zionist regime is downwards and this is what God has promised and what all nations want…Just as the Soviet Union was wiped out and today does not exist, so will the Zionist regime soon be wiped out"
(Comments to Iran's Holocaust Conference)
November 29, 2006
"What have the Zionists done for the American people that the US administration considers itself obliged to blindly support these infamous aggressors? Is it not because they have imposed themselves on a substantial portion of the banking, financial, cultural and media sectors?"
(Letter from Ahmadinejad "to the American people")
November 13, 2006
"
October 19, 2006
"The Zionist regime is counterfeit and illegitimate and cannot survive"
(as quoted by Iranian state television)
August 6, 2006
"They (
(as quoted by Khorasan Provincial TV)
Charles Asher Small is Director of the Yale Initiative for the Interdisciplinary Study of Anti-Semitism.




